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Chemik Police vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
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Match Events

15' Event
Lopatka M.
40' Event
Dabrowski D.
55'
Klimkowicz O.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Chemik Police and Unia Swarzedz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chemik Police
6%
Draws
90%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chemik Police haven't matched Unia Swarzedz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Unia Swarzedz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 20%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Unia Swarzedz
1:3
Aug 1, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Chemik Police
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabrowski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopatka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paczynski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 10 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chemik Police stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chemik Police scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Unia Swarzedz
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%