Sport Picks
Chemnitzer vs Erfurt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Chemnitzer host Erfurt in the Regionalliga Nordost. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Erfurt have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Chemnitzer have conceded 1.14 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Chemnitzer have won 1 to Erfurt's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.00, favoring Erfurt. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Erfurt at 2.72 per game, Chemnitzer at 2.17.
- Win probability leans Chemnitzer's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chemnitzer | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 2.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chemnitzer scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Erfurt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Chemnitzer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chemnitzer
(Home)Erfurt
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | 26 |
| 3 | Hallescher | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 10 | Zwickau | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | 13 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 6 |
| 17 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13:36 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9:28 | 3 |