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Cheng Fung vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gomes W.
34' Event
Mafus S.
45' Event
Mafus S.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Cheng Fung and Chiba finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cheng Fung
30%
Draws
47%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chiba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 11%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Chiba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.73
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Cheng Fung
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Chiba
2:5
May 11, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Cheng Fung
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lins D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafus S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 10 / 100
Chiba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Cheng Fung found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Chiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Chiba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS Chiba
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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Chiba

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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