Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Lins D.
46' Event
Teng L.
57' Event
Cheng-Lam L.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Cheng Fung and Monte Carlo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheng Fung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cheng Fung
30%
Draws
54%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Monte Carlo's 2.3 goals per match outpaces what Cheng Fung have produced (1.88).
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Monte Carlo taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monte Carlo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 11%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Monte Carlo
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo
3:1
Jun 25, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Cheng Fung
2:1
Apr 2, 2023 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo
0:1
May 7, 2022 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Cheng Fung
4:1
Jan 28, 2022 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Lins D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Teng L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheng-Lam L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheng Fung found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (40 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Monte Carlo has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Cheng Fung remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
Page 1 of 8

Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 8 1 0 49:2 25
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 37:8 24
3 Cheng Fung 9 6 2 1 18:6 20
4 Hang Sai 9 4 1 4 16:22 13
5 Lun Lok 9 4 1 4 20:28 13
6 University of Macau 9 4 1 4 14:18 13
7 Monte Carlo 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
8 Gala 9 2 1 6 17:17 7
9 Tak Chun Ka I 9 1 0 8 10:44 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 2 7 8:39 2
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)