Sport Picks

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Cheng Fung vs Policia

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021 Centro Desportivo Olímpico - Estádio
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Chon C. K.
45' Event
Cheang U.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Shek W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cheng Fung in this Elite League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cheng Fung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cheng Fung
33%
Draws
40%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cheng Fung have won more games recently than Policia.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Policia taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 11%
Policia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Policia
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Policia
0:0
Jul 24, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Cheng Fung
1:0
May 8, 2021 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Policia
2:1
Oct 18, 2020 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Policia
1:0
May 23, 2019 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Policia
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Chon C. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Policia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 27 / 100
Policia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Policia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheng Fung found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Policia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cheng Fung stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO181800115:454
2Benfica18150391:1545
3Tak Chun Ka I18112529:3035
4Cheng Fung18100840:4430
5Lun Lok1863926:5521
6Sporting Macau18621033:4520
7Policia1845917:3317
8Casa de Portugal18441022:6816
9Monte Carlo18261014:4612
10Hang Sai18221412:598