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Cheng Fung vs Toi Seng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Cheng Fung Logo

Cheng Fung

4 - 0
FT
Toi Seng Logo

Toi Seng

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Silva R.
52' Event
Silva R.
87' Event
Gomes W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2023 game between Cheng Fung and Toi Seng finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheng Fung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cheng Fung
30%
Draws
47%
Toi Seng
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Toi Seng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cheng Fung come out ahead of Toi Seng on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cheng Fung a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 11%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheng Fung Toi Seng
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 10 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.41 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Cheng Fung
1:6
Apr 15, 2023 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Toi Seng
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes W.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Toi Seng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheng Fung 40 / 100
Toi Seng 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheng Fung Toi Seng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toi Seng has conceded goals in 100% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Cheng Fung scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Toi Seng's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cheng Fung VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheng Fung

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
Page 1 of 7

Toi Seng

(Away)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)