Sport Picks
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Guangdong Mingtu
China
League Two Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sub
Wang Yueheng In: Xu Hong
Out: Wang Yueheng
40'
40'
Cai M.
Assist: Sun Chenxi
44'
44'
Yao Younan
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guangdong Mingtu average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Chengdu Rongcheng B's 0.38.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Chengdu Rongcheng B here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chengdu Rongcheng B Clean Sheet 19%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chengdu Rongcheng B | Guangdong Mingtu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 League Two
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:1
Jun 9, 2025 League Two
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Guangdong Mingtu
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Chengdu Rongcheng B
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chengdu Rongcheng B Compare
Top Goalscorer Qin Wanzhun
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Guangdong Mingtu Compare
Top Goalscorer Cai M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chengdu Rongcheng B 32 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chengdu Rongcheng B Guangdong Mingtu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guangdong Mingtu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chengdu Rongcheng B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Chengdu Rongcheng B scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Chengdu Rongcheng B VS Guangdong Mingtu
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chengdu Rongcheng B
(Home) 19 Jul
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng B
11 Jul
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng B
04 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1 Wuhan Three Towns B
28 Jun
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng B
24 Jun
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 0 Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1 Wuhan Three Towns B
24 Jun
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 0 Guangzhou Dandelion
20 Jun
Chengdu Rongcheng B
1 : 2 Wenzhou Professional
26 May
Chengdu Rongcheng B
1 : 2 Guizhou Guiyang
04 May
Chengdu Rongcheng B
1 : 1 Guangdong Mingtu
Page 1 of 3
Guangdong Mingtu
(Away) 19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0 Guangdong Mingtu
11 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 2 Shenzhen 2028
04 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2 Guangdong Mingtu
27 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 2 Xiamen Feilu
23 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0 Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0 Guangdong Mingtu
04 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2 Guangdong Mingtu
19 Jun
Ganzhou Ruishi
0 : 2 Guangdong Mingtu
27 May
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 1 Guangdong Mingtu
22 May
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1 Guangdong Mingtu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan B | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 25:14 | 35 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port B | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:10 | 34 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 14:8 | 29 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:15 | 27 |
| 5 | Taian Tiankuang | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Dalian Yingbo B | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 15 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Second | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16:30 | 12 |
| 12 | Beijing Technology | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 11:25 | 9 |
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Guiyang | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23:13 | 31 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:21 | 30 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 16:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wenzhou Professional | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns B | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9:18 | 9 |
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)