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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shandong Taishan

China China

Super League Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Matheus Jussa
Assist: Romulo
40'
Chen Zeshi
43'
Sub
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C. In: Chen Pu
Out: da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.

AI Match Summary

Chengdu Rongcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chengdu Rongcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chengdu Rongcheng
44%
Draws
20%
Shandong Taishan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shandong Taishan lately — more wins on the board than Chengdu Rongcheng.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chengdu Rongcheng have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 13%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chengdu Rongcheng Shandong Taishan
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shandong Taishan
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shandong Taishan
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 FA Cup
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:3
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
0:3
Sep 24, 2024 FA Cup
Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Jussa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Shandong Taishan Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chengdu Rongcheng 35 / 100
Shandong Taishan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chengdu Rongcheng Shandong Taishan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chengdu Rongcheng scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Shandong Taishan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Chengdu Rongcheng stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chengdu Rongcheng VS Shandong Taishan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
9Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1863929:3114
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348