Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chennaiyin FC vs Army Red

India India

Durand Cup 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chennaiyin FC play Army Red in the Durand Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chennaiyin FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Army Red averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Chennaiyin FC won 0, Army Red won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 31, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Chennaiyin FC and 1.52 for Army Red. This points to a Army Red double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Chennaiyin FC
23%
Draws
51%
Army Red
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Chennaiyin FC picked up more points recently compared to Army Red.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.52 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 15%
Army Red Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chennaiyin FC Army Red
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2024 Durand Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs Army Red
0:1
Aug 20, 2022 Durand Cup
Chennaiyin FC vs Army Red
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Army Red Compare

Top Goalscorer Shil L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chennaiyin FC 26 / 100
Army Red 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chennaiyin FC Army Red

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Army Red or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chennaiyin FC attacking → ← attacking Army Red

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chennaiyin FC scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Army Red let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Chennaiyin FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Army Red lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 46
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mohun Bagan22007:07
2East Bengal22006:27
3Downtown Heroes31023:43
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30031:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bengaluru FC330010:29
2Mohammedan31114:44
3Inter Kashi31113:54
4Indian Navy30031:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kerala Blasters321016:17
2Minerva Punjab32107:17
3CISF Protectors31022:103
4Mumbai City30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Army Red33007:29
2Jamshedpur32017:46
3Chennaiyin FC31023:43
4Assam Rifles30031:80
5Bangladesh Army00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North East United330011:19
2Bodoland FC32016:56
3Odisha FC31026:73
4Border Security Force30033:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lajong32104:17
2FC Goa32107:57
3Nepal Army31023:33
4Rangdajied United30033:80
5Hyderabad00000:00