Sport Picks

India

Durand Cup 2023

Chennaiyin FC

3 - 0

Nepal Army

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Choudhary F.

40'

Ali R.

(Penalty)

84'

Crivellaro R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chennaiyin FC in this Durand Cup 2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Chennaiyin FC

28%

Draws

50%

Nepal Army

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nepal Army

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Nepal Army haven't matched Chennaiyin FC's recent run of results.
Model gives Nepal Army a 50% chance of winning this.
Chennaiyin FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chennaiyin FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 20%

Nepal Army Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chennaiyin FC	Nepal Army
Matches Played	30	11
Wins	6	2
Draws	7	2
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	0.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2023 Durand Cup

Chennaiyin FC vs Nepal Army

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Choudhary F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Crivellaro R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Nepal Army Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chennaiyin FC 24 / 100

Nepal Army 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chennaiyin FC Nepal Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal Army let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Chennaiyin FC's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nepal Army lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chennaiyin FC VS Nepal Army

0.38 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67

63% Over 1.5 67%

13% Over 2.5 33%

13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Chennaiyin FC

(Home)

16 May

Chennaiyin FC

1 : 2

Bengaluru FC

10 May

North East United

4 : 1

Chennaiyin FC

06 May

Minerva Punjab

1 : 0

Chennaiyin FC

25 Apr

Jamshedpur

4 : 1

Chennaiyin FC

21 Apr

Chennaiyin FC

0 : 0

Mohammedan

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Nepal Army

(Away)

05 Aug

Army Red

1 : 0

Nepal Army

02 Aug

Nepal Army

1 : 1

1 Ladakh

24 Jul

Jamshedpur

3 : 2

Nepal Army

13 Aug

Rangdajied United

0 : 2

Nepal Army

08 Aug

FC Goa

2 : 1

Nepal Army

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