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Cheraga vs Bouakeul

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Cheraga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cheraga
15%
Draws
0%
Bouakeul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cheraga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cheraga a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Cheraga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cheraga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cheraga Clean Sheet 68%
Bouakeul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheraga Bouakeul
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 12 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2014 Algeria Cup
Cheraga vs Bouakeul
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheraga 68 / 100
Bouakeul 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheraga Bouakeul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheraga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bouakeul conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

Away concern: Bouakeul has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cheraga's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cheraga VS Bouakeul
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheraga

(Home)
19 Dec
Mlila
1 : 0
Cheraga
27 Dec
Hussein Dey
2 : 0
Cheraga
12 Dec
Hamra Annaba
0 : 2
Cheraga
29 Mar
Cheraga
0 : 2
MC Alger
18 Feb
Cheraga
2 : 1
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

Bouakeul

(Away)
03 Jan
Bouakeul
0 : 1
Beni Thamou
03 Feb
CA Batna
2 : 0
Bouakeul
25 Nov
MB Hassi Messaoud
1 : 0
Bouakeul
25 Nov
RC Oued Rhiou
1 : 0
Bouakeul
25 Jan
Cheraga
1 : 0
Bouakeul
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kabylie 4
El Kala 0
Hussein Dey 0
USM Alger 1
Bel Abbes 3
SCM Oran 0
OM Arzew 0
Saida 1
Magra 1
Tadjenant 0
WA Ramdane Djamel 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
Bejaia 3
Birmendreis 1
Chebaita Mokhtar 1
Oran 3
MO Constantine 4
Chabab Abadla 1
Hadjar 1
Khroub 2
MSP Batna 1
WB Meftah 0
Lakhdaria 0
Beni Douala 1
Amal Bou Saada 4
Mouzaia 1
ASM Oran 0
Hydra 1
Arba 2
Harrach 1
Skikda 0
Ain Fakroun 3
Cheraga 9
Tabalbala 0
El Bayadh 2
WM Tebessa 3
Oued Fodda 3
Robah 1
CA Batna 1
Bouakeul 3
ES Setif 2
Tadamoun Souf 0
JS Emir Abdelkader 0
Remchi 2
MO Bejaia 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
USMM Hadjout 3
Bouira 1
Touggourt 3
JS Pont Blanc 4
Medea 2
Bougtob 1
Eulma 2
JSM Tiaret 3
US Chaouia 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Djemaa 1
Mlila 2
CR Ben Badis 1
Msila 0
ASO Chlef 0
MC Alger 2
1/16-finals
Kabylie 1
USM Alger 0
Bel Abbes 0
Saida 1
Magra 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Bejaia 1
Oran 2
MO Constantine 3
Khroub 2
MSP Batna 1
Beni Douala 2
Amal Bou Saada 2
Hydra 0
Arba 0
Ain Fakroun 1
Cheraga 2
WM Tebessa 0
Oued Fodda 2
Bouakeul 3
ES Setif 3
Remchi 0
MO Bejaia 0
Constantine 2
USMM Hadjout 2
JS Pont Blanc 1
Medea 0
JSM Tiaret 1
US Chaouia 3
Mlila 1
CR Ben Badis 0
MC Alger 1
1/8-finals
Kabylie 1
Saida 0
Magra 1
Oran 2
MO Constantine 1
Beni Douala 0
Amal Bou Saada 2
Ain Fakroun 3
Cheraga 1
Bouakeul 0
ES Setif 1
Constantine 2
USMM Hadjout 1
JSM Tiaret 0
US Chaouia 2
MC Alger 3
Quarter-finals
Kabylie 1
Oran 0
MO Constantine 1
Ain Fakroun 2
Cheraga 2
Constantine 1
USMM Hadjout 0
MC Alger 1
Semi-finals
Kabylie 2
Ain Fakroun 1
Cheraga 0
MC Alger 2
Final
Kabylie 1
MC Alger 2