Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherepovets vs Baltika 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Khalygov E.

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherepovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Cherepovets
6%
Draws
90%
Baltika 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baltika 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cherepovets have won more games recently than Baltika 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Baltika 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherepovets here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 15%
Baltika 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Baltika 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Aug 22, 2007 FNL 2 - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1
May 22, 2007 FNL 2 - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalygov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Baltika 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 10 / 100
Baltika 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Baltika 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherepovets scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Baltika 2 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Baltika 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Baltika 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%