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Cherepovets vs Baltika 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Khalygov E.

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherepovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cherepovets
15%
Draws
26%
Baltika 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Baltika 2 average 1.73 goals a game right now, well clear of Cherepovets's 1.37.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Cherepovets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherepovets here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 12%
Baltika 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Baltika 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
1:4
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Aug 22, 2007 FNL 2 - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalygov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Baltika 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 65 / 100
Baltika 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Baltika 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherepovets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherepovets scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Baltika 2 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cherepovets stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Baltika 2
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Irkutsk
:
Cherepovets
27 Sept
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Dynamo Vologda
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
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Baltika 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Baltika 2
1 : 2
Kosmos
26 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
1 : 0
Baltika 2
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow 2
2 : 3
Baltika 2
05 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 1
FK Tver
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