Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cherepovets vs Vladimir

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets host Vladimir in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Cherepovets at 1.4 goals for, 1.5 against; Vladimir at 1.16 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Vladimir slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.63) back Vladimir to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cherepovets
15%
Draws
28%
Vladimir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherepovets average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Vladimir's 1.16.
  • Cherepovets are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 14%
Vladimir Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherepovets Vladimir
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Vladimir vs Cherepovets
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Vladimir
3:1
Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Vladimir vs Cherepovets
0:0
Oct 10, 2010 FNL 2 - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Vladimir
1:1
Jul 8, 2010 FNL 2 - Group 2
Vladimir vs Cherepovets
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherepovets 57 / 100
Vladimir 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherepovets Vladimir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherepovets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherepovets scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vladimir conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Vladimir has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherepovets VS Vladimir
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherepovets

(Home)
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Kosmos
27 Aug
Luki-Energiya
4 : 1
Cherepovets
Page 1 of 6

Vladimir

(Away)
20 Sept
Vladimir
0 : 1
Iskra Smolensk
13 Sept
FC Murom
4 : 0
Vladimir
06 Sept
Vladimir
1 : 2
Luki-Energiya
29 Aug
Zvezda St Peterburg
2 : 3
Vladimir
25 Aug
Vladimir
0 : 1
Krasnoye Znamya
Page 1 of 7