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Cherkashchyna vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherkashchyna play FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi in the Druha Liga 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cherkashchyna averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Cherkashchyna won 3, FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Cherkashchyna and 0.88 for FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi. This points to a Cherkashchyna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Cherkashchyna
24%
Draws
24%
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Cherkashchyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Cherkashchyna picked up more points recently compared to FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Cherkashchyna Clean Sheet 25%
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherkashchyna FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played 23 34
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 26
Goals Scored 1.35 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2014 Druha Liga
Cherkashchyna vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
0:0
Aug 17, 2013 Druha Liga
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Cherkashchyna
1:2
Apr 7, 2012 Druha Liga
Cherkashchyna vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
1:0
Aug 13, 2011 Druha Liga
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Cherkashchyna
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherkashchyna 52 / 100
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherkashchyna FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cherkashchyna or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cherkashchyna attacking → ← attacking FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherkashchyna scored in 77% of their last 22 games.

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Cherkashchyna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 20
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sumy26213251:1366
2Desna26185348:1959
3Cherkashchyna26158336:1653
4Nova Kakhovka26157451:1852
5UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka26146643:2548
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)26116940:3233
7Real Pharma Odesa26961128:4133
8Krystal26951230:3232
9Skala Stryj26841426:3628
10FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi26641623:5022
11Ch. Odesa 226551619:2020
12Nyva Ternopil26961130:4118
13Yednist26361719:5715
14Yalpuh Bolhrad26212310:547
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Poltava26185350:1959
2Kramatorsk 226191641:1558
3Shakhter Sverdlovsk26156549:2351
4Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26163744:2251
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7Myr Hornostajivka26137636:2646
8Shakhtar 3261011546:5631
9Hirnyk-Sport26681228:3926
10FC Sevastopol 226731626:5124
11Dnipro II26651524:4523
12SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226531819:4318
13FC Mariupol II26521925:4717
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