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Cherno More II vs Chernomorets Balchik Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Cherno More II and Chernomorets Balchik finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Cherno More II
20%
Draws
45%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets Balchik come out ahead of Cherno More II on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chernomorets Balchik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 14%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 24
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 2.1 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:1
May 2, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:4
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 30 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Chernomorets Balchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Cherno More II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chernomorets Balchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
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Chernomorets Balchik

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
3 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
4 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
7 Cherno More II 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
8 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
9 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
10 Septemvri Tervel 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 6 2 2 2 12:14 8
12 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
13 Fratria II 7 2 0 5 7:23 6
14 Devnya 2005 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 7 0 1 6 12:24 1
17 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)