Sport Picks
Cherno More II vs Ludogorets III
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Ludogorets III have won more games recently than Cherno More II.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More II taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 15%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cherno More II | Ludogorets III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 24 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 3.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ludogorets III
2:4
Sep 10, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Cherno More II
0:1
Aug 30, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Ludogorets III
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cherno More II 35 / 100
Ludogorets III 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cherno More II Ludogorets III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Cherno More II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ludogorets III let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cherno More II VS Ludogorets III
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cherno More II
(Home) 26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 4
Ludogorets III
(Away) 26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3 Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3 Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
30 May
Benkovski
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1 Ludogorets III
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
