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Cherno More II vs Olympic Varna Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Cherno More II and Olympic Varna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cherno More II
15%
Draws
0%
Olympic Varna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olympic Varna haven't matched Cherno More II's recent run of results.
  • Cherno More II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cherno More II have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 12%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More II Olympic Varna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.14 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Olympic Varna
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Olympic Varna
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Cherno More II
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More II 83 / 100
Olympic Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More II Olympic Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Olympic Varna let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Difficult form: Olympic Varna registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More II VS Olympic Varna
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More II

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6

Olympic Varna

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
3 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
4 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
7 Cherno More II 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
8 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
9 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
10 Septemvri Tervel 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 6 2 2 2 12:14 8
12 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
13 Fratria II 7 2 0 5 7:23 6
14 Devnya 2005 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 7 0 1 6 12:24 1
17 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)