Sport Picks
Cherno More II vs Septemvri Tervel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Cherno More II and Septemvri Tervel finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Tervel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Cherno More II haven't matched Septemvri Tervel's recent run of results.
- Model gives Septemvri Tervel a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Septemvri Tervel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cherno More II | Septemvri Tervel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Septemvri Tervel
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Cherno More II
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Septemvri Tervel
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Cherno More II
3:1
May 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Septemvri Tervel
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cherno More II 28 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cherno More II Septemvri Tervel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More II's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Cherno More II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Septemvri Tervel has conceded goals in 44% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cherno More II VS Septemvri Tervel
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cherno More II
(Home) 03 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Cherno More II
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 4
Septemvri Tervel
(Away) 03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
17 May
Cherno More II
0 : 2 Septemvri Tervel
09 May
Fratria II
0 : 4 Septemvri Tervel
29 Apr
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 3 Septemvri Tervel
25 Apr
Benkovski
0 : 2 Septemvri Tervel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
