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Cherno More vs FK Tosno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Fennouche M.
63'
63'

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cherno More
20%
Draws
44%
FK Tosno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Tosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FK Tosno at 1.07 per game, Cherno More at 0.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 19%
FK Tosno Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More FK Tosno
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2018 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs FK Tosno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Fennouche M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FK Tosno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 32 / 100
FK Tosno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More FK Tosno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Tosno conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Cherno More's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cherno More has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: FK Tosno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS FK Tosno
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
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FK Tosno

(Away)
12 Aug
FK Tosno
0 : 1
Cherepovets
29 Jul
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie
0 : 3
FK Tosno
13 May
Ufa
5 : 0
FK Tosno
09 May
FK Tosno
2 : 1
Kursk
05 May
FK Tosno
1 : 2
Dynamo Moscow
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