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Cherno More vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Ticha, Varna
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More host Levski Sofia in the efbet League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Cherno More at 1.07 goals for, 1.38 against; Levski Sofia at 1.88 for, 0.66 against. Head-to-head, Cherno More have won 1 to Levski Sofia's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.88) back Levski Sofia to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cherno More
30%
Draws
41%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Sofia have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • Cherno More are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Levski Sofia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 21
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Levski Sofia
1:3
May 26, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Levski Sofia
0:0
May 10, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 34 / 100
Levski Sofia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Levski Sofia let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Levski Sofia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
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