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Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Ticha, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Atanasov M.
40' Event
Chandarov A.
40'
Ivanov I.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Cherno More and Lok. Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cherno More
30%
Draws
34%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cherno More

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched Lok. Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Chandarov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donchev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 36 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cherno More's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lok. Plovdiv has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
19 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
08 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 2
Dobrudzha
08 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 1
Cherno More
03 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 0
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
08 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
29 May
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
25 May
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
5Lok. Plovdiv361413936:4155
6Arda361591242:3454
7Cherno More3614121040:3454
8Botev Plovdiv361371649:4546
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)