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Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Ticha, Varna
Cherno More Logo

Cherno More

2 - 0
FT
Lok. Plovdiv Logo

Lok. Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Atanasov M.
40' Event
Chandarov A.
40'
Ivanov I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Cherno More and Lok. Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cherno More
30%
Draws
31%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cherno More

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched Lok. Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Cherno More taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Chandarov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donchev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 59 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cherno More scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Lok. Plovdiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Cherno More has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Lok. Plovdiv
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)