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Cherno More vs Ludogorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Ticha, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Nedyalkov A.
30' Event
Lazarov G.
Assist: Tombak E.
34'
Achi M.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Cherno More and Ludogorets finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Cherno More
20%
Draws
74%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Ludogorets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 16%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Ludogorets
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
2:3
Apr 9, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Cherno More
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
0:0
May 13, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Cherno More
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zlatev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Rwan Cruz
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chochev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 19 / 100
Ludogorets 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ludogorets conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Ludogorets
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
26 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 3
Spartak Varna
19 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 1
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets

(Away)
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets 5 5 0 0 10:3 15
2 CSKA Sofia 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
3 CSKA 1948 Sofia 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
4 Levski Sofia 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
5 Arda 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
6 Botev Plovdiv 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
7 Spartak Varna 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
8 Slavia Sofia 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
9 Septemvri Sofia 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
10 Dunav Ruse 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
11 Lok. Plovdiv 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
12 Lok. Sofia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
13 Cherno More 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
14 Botev Vratsa 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)