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Cherno More vs Ludogorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Ticha, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Nedyalkov A.
30' Event
Lazarov G.
Assist: Tombak E.
34'
Achi M.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Cherno More and Ludogorets finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cherno More
30%
Draws
51%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ludogorets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherno More Ludogorets
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Cherno More
5:0
Aug 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
2:3
Apr 9, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Cherno More
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
0:0
May 13, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zlatev N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Rwan Cruz
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chochev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherno More 10 / 100
Ludogorets 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherno More Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cherno More remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Ludogorets conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cherno More VS Ludogorets
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherno More

(Home)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets

(Away)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)