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Chernolomets vs Benkovski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernolomets host Benkovski in the Third League - North-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Benkovski have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Chernolomets have conceded 1.31 and scored 2.41. Past meetings favor Chernolomets slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Chernolomets. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chernolomets
20%
Draws
28%
Benkovski
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Benkovski haven't matched Chernolomets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chernolomets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 15%
Benkovski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Benkovski
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.41 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Chernolomets
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Benkovski
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Chernolomets
0:1
Nov 13, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Benkovski
3:2
May 26, 2024 Third League - North-East
Benkovski vs Chernolomets
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 84 / 100
Benkovski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Benkovski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Chernolomets went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Benkovski let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS Benkovski
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

Benkovski

(Away)
04 Oct
Benkovski
0 : 3
Akademik Svishtov
26 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
1 : 1
Benkovski
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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