Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernolomets in this Third League - North-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernolomets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chernolomets
20%
Draws
28%
Shumen 2007
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chernolomets lately — more wins on the board than Shumen 2007.
  • Model gives Chernolomets a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chernolomets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 20%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernolomets Shumen 2007
Matches Played 37 15
Wins 25 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.89 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007
0:0
Jun 3, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007
8:0
Nov 26, 2022 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Chernolomets
1:2
Apr 17, 2022 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Shumen 2007
3:1
Oct 9, 2021 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Chernolomets
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernolomets 85 / 100
Shumen 2007 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernolomets Shumen 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernolomets's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Shumen 2007 let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chernolomets went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernolomets VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernolomets

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 8

Shumen 2007

(Away)
03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0
Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1
Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0
Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1
Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 28 25 2 1 86:13 77
2 Septemvri Tervel 28 21 5 2 70:18 68
3 Svetkavitsa 28 17 5 6 42:23 56
4 Chernolomets 28 17 4 7 68:24 55
5 Ludogorets III 28 17 3 8 79:31 54
6 Cherno More II 28 15 2 11 63:33 47
7 FK Riltzi 28 13 7 8 46:43 46
8 Spartak Varna II 28 13 5 10 44:35 44
9 Dorostol 28 12 4 12 28:40 40
10 Shumen 2007 28 7 1 20 26:62 22
11 Dunav Ruse II 28 6 4 18 26:63 22
12 Ustrem Donchevo 28 6 3 19 28:67 21
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 28 5 6 17 33:56 21
14 Sportist Toshevo 28 5 3 20 31:96 18
15 Botev Novi Pazar 28 4 0 24 20:86 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)