Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets 1919 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Gradski stadion, Nesebar
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Milushev M.
24' Event
Kostadinov D.
65'
Sadetinov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Chernomorets 1919 and Pirin Blagoevgrad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chernomorets 1919
39%
Draws
30%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets 1919 come out ahead of Pirin Blagoevgrad on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 21%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
Apr 15, 2015 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919
2:0
Sep 20, 2014 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:2
May 21, 2011 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets 1919
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostadinov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 32 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chernomorets 1919 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Pirin Blagoevgrad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
11 Jul
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 3
Etar
01 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
4 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
23 May
Sevlievo
3 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
15 May
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Svoge
11 May
Marek
3 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
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Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
11 Jul
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2
Marek
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
4 : 1
Sevlievo
11 May
Svoge
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
02 May
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219
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