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Chernomorets 1919 vs Spartak Pleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga efbet Arena, Burgas
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Match Events

28' Event
Kostenski R.
46'
Sub
Stoyanov D. In: Neves A.
Out: Stoyanov D.
57'
Darame J.

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chernomorets 1919
15%
Draws
35%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chernomorets 1919 lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Pleven.
  • Model gives Chernomorets 1919 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chernomorets 1919 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 68%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets 1919 Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Spartak Pleven
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Spartak Pleven
2:0
May 2, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Chernomorets 1919
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Spartak Pleven
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostenski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Staykov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Spartak Pleven Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets 1919 95 / 100
Spartak Pleven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets 1919 Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Chernomorets 1919 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Chernomorets 1919 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Spartak Pleven has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets 1919 VS Spartak Pleven
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets 1919

(Home)
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)