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Chernomorets Balchik vs Olympic Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East Balchik Stadium, Balchik
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Chernomorets Balchik and Olympic Varna finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chernomorets Balchik
15%
Draws
0%
Olympic Varna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olympic Varna haven't matched Chernomorets Balchik's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets Balchik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chernomorets Balchik here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 16%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Olympic Varna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 2.55 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.52 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Olympic Varna
4:3
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Olympic Varna
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 84 / 100
Olympic Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Olympic Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Olympic Varna let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Olympic Varna registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS Olympic Varna
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

Olympic Varna

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)