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Chernomorets Balchik vs Svetkavitsa 2014 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East Balchik Stadium, Balchik
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Chernomorets Balchik and Svetkavitsa 2014 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chernomorets Balchik
20%
Draws
28%
Svetkavitsa 2014
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets Balchik come out ahead of Svetkavitsa 2014 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets Balchik's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernomorets Balchik have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 20%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Svetkavitsa 2014
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 0 14
Goals Scored 2.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Svetkavitsa 2014
1:0
May 16, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Svetkavitsa 2014
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 67 / 100
Svetkavitsa 2014 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Svetkavitsa 2014

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chernomorets Balchik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Svetkavitsa 2014's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS Svetkavitsa 2014
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
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Svetkavitsa 2014

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
3 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
4 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
7 Cherno More II 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
8 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
9 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
10 Septemvri Tervel 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 6 2 2 2 12:14 8
12 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
13 Fratria II 7 2 0 5 7:23 6
14 Devnya 2005 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 7 0 1 6 12:24 1
17 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
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