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Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East Balchik Stadium, Balchik
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Balchik host Volov Shumen in the Third League - North-East. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Chernomorets Balchik have averaged 2.53 scored and 0.57 conceded recently, against Volov Shumen's 3.19 scored and 0.69 conceded. Past meetings favor Volov Shumen slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.31 - 2.69) back Chernomorets Balchik to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chernomorets Balchik
15%
Draws
40%
Volov Shumen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Volov Shumen have won more games recently than Chernomorets Balchik.
  • Model gives Volov Shumen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Balchik Volov Shumen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 23 24
Draws 6 3
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 2.53 3.19
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernomorets Balchik
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Volov Shumen
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Balchik 18 / 100
Volov Shumen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Balchik Volov Shumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Balchik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Chernomorets Balchik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Volov Shumen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Balchik VS Volov Shumen
2.13 Goals Scored 4.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Balchik

(Home)
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

Volov Shumen

(Away)
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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