Sport Picks
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Zagorets
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Zagorets in this Third League - South-East 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Zagorets lately — more wins on the board than Chernomorets Burgas Sofia.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets Burgas Sofia | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 24 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.17 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2016 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Zagorets
0:1
Oct 10, 2015 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 29 / 100
Zagorets 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zagorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Zagorets registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia VS Zagorets
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
(Home) 08 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
13 Jul
Gorna
1 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
09 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
28 Jun
Dobrudzha
3 : 1 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
20 Jul
Sozopol
0 : 2 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
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21 May
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
4 : 5 Gigant Saedinenie
18 May
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
2 : 8 Uragan Boyadzhik
29 Apr
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
3 : 1 Sliven
20 Apr
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
0 : 1 Zagorets
09 Apr
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
1 : 3 Svilengrad 1921
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Zagorets
(Away) 04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3 Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
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19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 88:20 | 90 |
| 2 | Rozova Dolina | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 81:30 | 76 |
| 3 | Zagorets | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 64:20 | 72 |
| 4 | Uragan Boyadzhik | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 93:45 | 64 |
| 5 | Dimitrovgrad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 61:38 | 62 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 67:58 | 58 |
| 7 | Svilengrad 1921 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 72:53 | 56 |
| 8 | Asenovets | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 10 | Evrokolezh | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 69:74 | 46 |
| 11 | Karnobat | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56:56 | 43 |
| 12 | Spartak Plovdiv | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 13 | Levski Karlovo | 34 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 43:75 | 35 |
| 14 | Rakovski 2011 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 45:68 | 34 |
| 15 | Borislav Parvomay | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 34:59 | 29 |
| 16 | Radnevo | 34 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 32:84 | 27 |
| 17 | Chernomorets Burgas Sofia | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 42:100 | 22 |
| 18 | Sliven | 34 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 20:112 | 10 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2016/2017 (Main)
