Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chernomorets Byala vs Shumen 1929

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Byala in this Third League - North-East 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Byala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chernomorets Byala
20%
Draws
80%
Shumen 1929
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shumen 1929

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Chernomorets Byala haven't matched Shumen 1929's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Shumen 1929 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Chernomorets Byala have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chernomorets Byala Clean Sheet 12%
Shumen 1929 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Byala Shumen 1929
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.91 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2015 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Byala vs Shumen 1929
2:0
Sep 28, 2014 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Chernomorets Byala
1:1
Mar 8, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Byala vs Shumen 1929
2:1
Aug 25, 2013 Third League - North-East
Shumen 1929 vs Chernomorets Byala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Byala 19 / 100
Shumen 1929 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Byala Shumen 1929

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shumen 1929 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shumen 1929's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Chernomorets Byala found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Away concern: Shumen 1929 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shumen 1929
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Byala

(Home)
24 May
Chernomorets Byala
0 : 3
FK Ticha
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 1
Chernomorets Byala
16 May
Chernomorets Byala
0 : 1
Suvorovo
12 May
Dve Mogili
3 : 0
Chernomorets Byala
10 May
Svetkavitsa
4 : 1
Chernomorets Byala
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Shumen 1929

(Away)
22 May
Shumen 1929
0 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
15 May
Inter Plachidol
3 : 2
Shumen 1929
07 May
Shumen 1929
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
29 Apr
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Shumen 1929
23 Apr
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 30 28 1 1 121:11 85
2 Chernomorets Balchik 30 24 4 2 85:14 76
3 Kaliakra 30 23 3 4 93:21 72
4 Suvorovo 30 19 2 9 47:38 59
5 FK Ticha 30 17 2 11 59:38 53
6 Benkovski Byala 30 15 4 11 46:39 49
7 Septemvri Tervel 30 15 1 14 43:46 46
8 Kubrat 30 14 3 13 48:45 45
9 Svetkavitsa 30 14 3 13 42:44 45
10 Botev Novi Pazar 30 12 2 16 45:61 38
11 Belitsa 30 10 4 16 39:58 34
12 Shumen 1929 30 9 5 16 41:52 32
13 Dve Mogili 30 6 4 20 19:53 22
14 Chernomorets Byala 30 6 3 21 25:68 21
15 Provadia 30 4 1 25 30:109 13
16 Dorostol 30 2 2 26 12:98 8
Promotion - B PFG 2015/2016 (Main)