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Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kaluga

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Novorossijsk in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Novorossijsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
17%
Draws
70%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kaluga at 1 per game, Chernomorets Novorossijsk at 0.86.
  • Kaluga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 18%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Novorossijsk Kaluga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kaluga
4:1
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kaluga
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Novorossijsk 15 / 100
Kaluga 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chernomorets Novorossijsk's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kaluga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Chernomorets Novorossijsk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Novorossijsk VS Kaluga
0.86 Goals Scored 1
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Novorossijsk

(Home)
16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1
Ural
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3
Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1
Saratov
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
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Kaluga

(Away)
19 Jul
Saratov
1 : 1
Kaluga
13 Jun
Kaluga
3 : 0
Mashuk
07 Jun
Sibir Novosibirsk
1 : 0
Kaluga
31 May
Kaluga
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
27 May
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 2
Kaluga
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