Sport Picks

Russia

Russian Cup 2025/2026 Centralnyy

Chernomorets Novorossijsk

1 - 2

Kuban Kholding

Our Tip

Match Events

Popov O.

30'

Zakharov I.

46'

Sub

Sutugin I. In: Pomeshkin K.

Out: Sutugin I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kuban Kholding in this Russian Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuban Kholding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chernomorets Novorossijsk

39%

Draws

30%

Kuban Kholding

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Kuban Kholding have won more games recently than Chernomorets Novorossijsk.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 17%

Kuban Kholding Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	Kuban Kholding
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	14
Draws	7	10
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 Russian Cup

Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban Kholding

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

May 7, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1

Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban Kholding

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Apr 8, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1

Kuban Kholding vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Oct 1, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1

Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban Kholding

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Apr 3, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1

Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Kuban Kholding

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets Novorossijsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Pomeshkin K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Kuban Kholding Compare

Top Goalscorer Popov O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Grechkin A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Novorossijsk 31 / 100

Kuban Kholding 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chernomorets Novorossijsk Kuban Kholding

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Chernomorets Novorossijsk scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Kuban Kholding's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kuban Kholding's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Novorossijsk VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals

SKA Khabarovsk-

TBD-

Rodina Moscow-

Ulan Ude0

FC Irkutsk8

TBD-

Sibir Novosibirsk-

Anri Vladivostok0

KDV Tomsk4

TBD-

Dynamo Vladivostok-

TBD-

Chelyabinsk-

Kamaz-

TBD-

S. Kostroma-

Znamya Truda-

TBD-

Dynamo Barnaul-

Irtysh Omsk-

TBD-

Temp Barnaul3

Uralets Nizhny Tagil2

TBD-

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-

Dynamo Vologda-

TBD-

Dynamo Petersburg-

Tekstilshtik-

TBD-

FK Tver-

TBD-

Fakel Voronezh-

Dynamo Stavropol-

TBD-

Angust Nazran-

Kuban-

TBD-

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon2

Maykop1

TBD-

Ural-

Tyumen-

TBD-

Nosta2

Ilpar FC3

Torpedo Miass-

TBD-

Volna Nizhegorodskaya-

TBD-

Arsenal Tula-

Broke Boys3

FC Oryol2

TBD-

Kursk-

D. Bryansk-

TBD-

Saturn Ramenskoye-

TBD-

Saratov-

Astrakhan-

TBD-

FK Pobeda-

Legion Makhachkala-

TBD-

Alania Vladikavkaz-

TBD-

Chernomorets Novorossijsk-

Mashuk-

TBD-

Spartak Nalchik-

Kuban Kholding-

TBD-

Nart Cherkessk-

TBD-

Ulyanovsk-

Spartak Tambov-

TBD-

M. Lipetsk-

FC Murom-

TBD-

FK Shumbrat Saransk1

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk3

TBD-

Torpedo Moscow-

Kosmos-

TBD-

2Drots1

Vladimir0

Veles Moscow-

TBD-

Znamya Noginsk3

FK Kolomna0

TBD-

R. Volgograd-

Kaluga-

TBD-

Amkal Moscow3

Kvant Obninsk1

Salyut-Belgorod-

TBD-

Ryazan-

TBD-

Yenisey-

Kirov-

TBD-

FK Fankom-

Sokol Kazan-

Khimik-

TBD-

Amkar-

TBD-

Ufa-

Leningradets-

TBD-

Kristall1

Luki-Energiya3

RWChallenge1

Zvezda St Peterburg4

SSh Leningradets0

Cherepovets3

TBD-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

Penza-

TBD-

Strogino Moscow-

FC Volgar-Astrakhan-

TBD-

FC Chertanovo Moscow-

TBD-

Neftekhimik-

1/16-finals

SKA Khabarovsk-

TBD-

Rodina Moscow-

FC Irkutsk2

Sibir Novosibirsk0

KDV Tomsk3

Dynamo Vladivostok0

TBD-

Chelyabinsk-

Kamaz-

TBD-

S. Kostroma-

Znamya Truda2

Dynamo Barnaul1

Irtysh Omsk0

Temp Barnaul1

TBD-

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-

Dynamo Vologda1

Dynamo Petersburg0

Tekstilshtik1

FK Tver0

TBD-

Fakel Voronezh-

Dynamo Stavropol2

Angust Nazran1

Kuban1

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon2

TBD-

Ural-

Tyumen4

Ilpar FC1

Torpedo Miass0

Volna Nizhegorodskaya1

TBD-

Arsenal Tula-

Broke Boys2

Kursk1

D. Bryansk0

Saturn Ramenskoye1

TBD-

Saratov-

Astrakhan1

FK Pobeda0

Legion Makhachkala3

Alania Vladikavkaz2

TBD-

Chernomorets Novorossijsk-

Mashuk1

Spartak Nalchik0

Kuban Kholding1

Nart Cherkessk0

TBD-

Ulyanovsk-

Spartak Tambov2

M. Lipetsk1

FC Murom2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk3

TBD-

Torpedo Moscow-

Kosmos1

2Drots0

Veles Moscow2

Znamya Noginsk0

TBD-

R. Volgograd-

Kaluga0

Amkal Moscow1

Salyut-Belgorod3

Ryazan0

TBD-

Yenisey-

Kirov1

FK Fankom2

Khimik2

Amkar1

TBD-

Ufa-

Leningradets0

Luki-Energiya2

Zvezda St Peterburg1

Cherepovets2

TBD-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

Penza1

Strogino Moscow0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan2

FC Chertanovo Moscow1

TBD-

Neftekhimik-

1/8-finals

SKA Khabarovsk-

TBD-

Rodina Moscow-

FC Irkutsk3

KDV Tomsk0

TBD-

Chelyabinsk-

Kamaz-

TBD-

S. Kostroma-

Znamya Truda1

Temp Barnaul0

TBD-

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye-

Dynamo Vologda1

Tekstilshtik2

TBD-

Fakel Voronezh-

Dynamo Stavropol1

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon2

TBD-

Ural-

Tyumen1

Volna Nizhegorodskaya2

TBD-

Arsenal Tula-

Broke Boys2

Saturn Ramenskoye0

TBD-

Saratov-

Astrakhan5

Legion Makhachkala2

TBD-

Chernomorets Novorossijsk-

Mashuk0

Kuban Kholding3

TBD-

Ulyanovsk-

Spartak Tambov0

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk1

TBD-

Torpedo Moscow-

Kosmos1

Veles Moscow4

TBD-

R. Volgograd-

Amkal Moscow2

Salyut-Belgorod1

TBD-

Yenisey-

FK Fankom1

Khimik0

TBD-

Ufa-

Luki-Energiya2

Cherepovets4

TBD-

Shinnik Yaroslavl-

Penza0

FC Volgar-Astrakhan1

TBD-

Neftekhimik-

Quarter-finals

SKA Khabarovsk0

Rodina Moscow3

FC Irkutsk2

Chelyabinsk3

Kamaz1

S. Kostroma0

Znamya Truda0

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye1

Tekstilshtik1

Fakel Voronezh2

FC PSK Dinskoy rayon1

Ural2

Volna Nizhegorodskaya0

Arsenal Tula3

Broke Boys0

Saratov2

Astrakhan0

Chernomorets Novorossijsk2

Kuban Kholding3

Ulyanovsk2

Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk1

Torpedo Moscow3

Veles Moscow2

R. Volgograd1

Amkal Moscow1

Yenisey2

FK Fankom0

Ufa3

Cherepovets1

Shinnik Yaroslavl4

FC Volgar-Astrakhan1

Neftekhimik2

Semi-finals

Rodina Moscow0

Chelyabinsk1

Kamaz3

FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye1

Fakel Voronezh1

Ural0

Arsenal Tula1

Saratov0

Chernomorets Novorossijsk1

Kuban Kholding2

Torpedo Moscow3

Veles Moscow0

Yenisey1

Ufa2

Shinnik Yaroslavl1

Neftekhimik2

Final

Chelyabinsk0

Kamaz1

Fakel Voronezh2

Arsenal Tula3

Kuban Kholding1

Torpedo Moscow2

Ufa1

Neftekhimik2