Sport Picks
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Tuapse
Russia
FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 
Match Events
16'
16'
Budagyan Y.
40'
40'
Budagyan Y.
67'
67'
Sub
Zakirov K. In: Mitrenko S.
Out: Zakirov K.
AI Match Summary
Chernomorets Novorossijsk in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Novorossijsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chernomorets Novorossijsk average 1.19 goals a game right now, well clear of Tuapse's 1.13.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets Novorossijsk taking it.
- Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Chernomorets Novorossijsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 17%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | Tuapse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Tuapse
2:0
Oct 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:1
May 16, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1:1
Oct 31, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Tuapse
1:0
Jul 21, 2020 Club Friendly
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Tuapse
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Budagyan Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akhmedkhanov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Tuapse Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 66 / 100
Tuapse 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Tuapse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets Novorossijsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tuapse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Chernomorets Novorossijsk found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Tuapse's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chernomorets Novorossijsk VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
(Home) 16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1 Ural
08 May
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
0 : 2 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3 Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1 Saratov
22 Apr
Neftekhimik
4 : 0 Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 1 Ural
02 May
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 3 Rodina Moscow
26 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0 : 1 Saratov
11 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 2 S. Kostroma
29 Mar
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1 : 4 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 4
Tuapse
(Away) 05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0 Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4 Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3 Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5 Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0 Tuapse
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0 Tuapse
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3 Tuapse
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0 Tuapse
30 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 0 Tuapse
18 Apr
SKA Rostov-on-Don
4 : 0 Tuapse
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 62:12 | 80 |
| 2 | SKA Rostov-on-Don | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71:22 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 88:24 | 70 |
| 4 | Forte Taganrog | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 55:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 70:35 | 60 |
| 6 | Kuban Kholding | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 46:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Legion Makhachkala | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 8 | Biolog | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Anzhi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 46:35 | 42 |
| 10 | Spartak Nalchik | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32:28 | 40 |
| 11 | Maykop | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:44 | 32 |
| 12 | Mashuk | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 31 |
| 13 | Dynamo Stavropol | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 40:57 | 29 |
| 14 | Tuapse | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 36:60 | 29 |
| 15 | R. Volgograd 2 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 26:74 | 21 |
| 16 | Alania 2 | 32 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 32:97 | 12 |
| 17 | Yessentuki | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 16:106 | 10 |
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)
