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Chernomorets Sevastopol vs FC Sevastopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Guyganov M.
33'
Gevlych V.
36'
Khlibkevich O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) 2023 game between Chernomorets Sevastopol and FC Sevastopol finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chernomorets Sevastopol
44%
Draws
20%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Sevastopol come out ahead of Chernomorets Sevastopol on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chernomorets Sevastopol Clean Sheet 10%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chernomorets Sevastopol FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 25 35
Wins 7 24
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 3 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
FC Sevastopol vs Chernomorets Sevastopol
5:1
May 6, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Chernomorets Sevastopol vs FC Sevastopol
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chernomorets Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Gafarov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Mironenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guyganov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chernomorets Sevastopol 34 / 100
FC Sevastopol 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chernomorets Sevastopol FC Sevastopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chernomorets Sevastopol scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

FC Sevastopol has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Chernomorets Sevastopol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chernomorets Sevastopol VS FC Sevastopol
0 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chernomorets Sevastopol

(Home)
10 Mar
Chernomorets Sevastopol
0 : 3
Luki-Energiya
12 Nov
Chernomorets Sevastopol
1 : 1
Ocean Kerch
05 Nov
Alushta
0 : 2
Chernomorets Sevastopol
01 Nov
Chernomorets Sevastopol
1 : 0
Alushta
28 Oct
Sparta-KT
0 : 3
Chernomorets Sevastopol
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FC Sevastopol

(Away)
25 Jul
Maykop
1 : 3
FC Sevastopol
04 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 2
FC Sevastopol
27 Jun
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
20 Jun
Astrakhan
1 : 2
FC Sevastopol
13 Jun
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
FK Pobeda
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