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Cherry Orchard vs Killester Donnycarney

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event

AI Match Summary

Cherry Orchard in this FAI Cup 2016 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cherry Orchard
15%
Draws
51%
Killester Donnycarney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killester Donnycarney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Killester Donnycarney have won more games recently than Cherry Orchard.
  • Win probability leans Cherry Orchard's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Killester Donnycarney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cherry Orchard, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 11%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cherry Orchard Killester Donnycarney
Matches Played 21 25
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 FAI Cup
Cherry Orchard vs Killester Donnycarney
1:0
Apr 3, 2016 FAI Cup
Killester Donnycarney vs Cherry Orchard
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cherry Orchard 38 / 100
Killester Donnycarney 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cherry Orchard Killester Donnycarney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherry Orchard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherry Orchard scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

Killester Donnycarney's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Killester Donnycarney registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cherry Orchard VS Killester Donnycarney
1.33 Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cherry Orchard

(Home)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

Killester Donnycarney

(Away)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Crumlin Utd 1
Janesboro 4
St John Bosco 2
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Firhouse -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Rockmount 0
Pike Rovers 1
Bluebell Utd 5
Carrigaline Utd 0
TBD -
Limerick -
Ringmahon Rangers 4
Bandon 3
TBD -
Glebe North -
Cherry Orchard 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Midleton -
Letterkenny Rovers 3
Portmarnock 2
TBD -
Athlone -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Saint Peter's FC 2
Leeside 1
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 0
Finn Harps 0
Crumlin Utd 1
Janesboro 2
Sheriff YC 1
Bray 3
UC Dublin 4
Wexford 3
Firhouse 0
Cabinteely 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Bohemians 2
Galway United 0
Drogheda 2
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 8
Pike Rovers 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Limerick 5
Ringmahon Rangers 2
Glebe North 1
Cherry Orchard 1
Cobh Ramblers 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Midleton 0
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Athlone 1
Longford 2
Waterford 0
Saint Peter's FC 0
Cork City 4
1/8-finals
Dundalk 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Janesboro 1
UC Dublin 3
Wexford 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 2
Limerick 0
Ringmahon Rangers 1
Cobh Ramblers 4
Shamrock Rovers 5
Athlone 0
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 1
UC Dublin 0
Wexford 1
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 5
Semi-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 1
Cork City 3
Final
Dundalk 0
Cork City 1