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Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Minhas N.
33' Event
Robertson L.
57' Event
Minhas N.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chertsey Town and Berkhamsted Town finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chertsey Town
15%
Draws
40%
Berkhamsted Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Berkhamsted Town come out ahead of Chertsey Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chertsey Town's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 17%
Berkhamsted Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chertsey Town Berkhamsted Town
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted Town
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Chertsey Town
1:2
Aug 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted Town
0:1
Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Minhas N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Robertson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Berkhamsted Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Blake R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 41 / 100
Berkhamsted Town 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chertsey Town Berkhamsted Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chertsey Town scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Berkhamsted Town conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chertsey Town remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Berkhamsted Town
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chertsey Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2
Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 6

Berkhamsted Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Redditch
0 : 2
Berkhamsted Town
29 Sept
Sholing
2 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
4 : 1
Hendon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)