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Chertsey Town vs Chesham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lee C.
40' Event
Lee C.
72' Event
St Clair-Burton W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chertsey Town and Chesham finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Chertsey Town
20%
Draws
19%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Chertsey Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Chertsey Town taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 18%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chertsey Town Chesham
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Chertsey Town vs Chesham
2:1
Sep 18, 2021 FA Cup
Chertsey Town vs Chesham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer St Clair-Burton W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 76 / 100
Chesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chertsey Town Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chertsey Town scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Chertsey Town stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Chesham has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Chesham
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chertsey Town

(Home)
11 Aug
Chertsey Town
4 : 1
Berkhamsted Town
08 Aug
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Chertsey Town
31 Jul
Chertsey Town
4 : 2
Westfield
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1
Chesham
25 Jul
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
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Chesham

(Away)
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0
Chesham
28 Jul
Chertsey Town
2 : 1
Chesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6
Chesham
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Chesham
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2
Chelmsford
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