Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chertsey Town vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lee C.
40' Event
Lee C.
72' Event
St Clair-Burton W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chertsey Town and Chesham finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chertsey Town
15%
Draws
40%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chertsey Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chertsey Town Chesham
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.04 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Chertsey Town vs Chesham
2:1
Sep 18, 2021 FA Cup
Chertsey Town vs Chesham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer St Clair-Burton W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chertsey Town 34 / 100
Chesham 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chertsey Town Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chertsey Town scored in 92% of their last 26 outings.

Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chertsey Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chertsey Town VS Chesham
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chertsey Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2
Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 6

Chesham

(Away)
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2
Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
Page 1 of 6