Sport Picks
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
33'
33'
Robertson L.
(Penalty)
50'
50'
Saied S.
73'
73'
Tarbuck B.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Chertsey Town and Poole Town finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Poole Town on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Poole Town have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Poole Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 26 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
3:1
Jan 14, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Saied S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tarbuck B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 31 / 100
Poole Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Poole Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chertsey Town scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.
Poole Town let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chertsey Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Poole Town
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 7
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
29 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 2 Frome Town
Page 1 of 4
Poole Town
(Away) 29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
22 Aug
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 3 Poole Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
