Sport Picks
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Lowes B.
AI Match Summary
Poole Town in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Chertsey Town have won more games recently than Poole Town.
- Model gives Poole Town a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Poole Town have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 16%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chertsey Town | Poole Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 26 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town
3:1
Jan 14, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Poole Town
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chertsey Town Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Lowes B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chertsey Town 19 / 100
Poole Town 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chertsey Town Poole Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chertsey Town scored in 91% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Poole Town conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Chertsey Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chertsey Town VS Poole Town
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chertsey Town
(Home) 29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 7
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Carshalton
29 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 2 Frome Town
Page 1 of 4
Poole Town
(Away) 29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
22 Aug
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 3 Poole Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
