Sport Picks
Chesham vs Maidenhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
25'
25'
Umerah J.
65'
65'
Umerah J.
73'
73'
Mitchell-Lawson J.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Chesham and Maidenhead finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maidenhead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesham carry the better recent record into this one.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Chesham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chesham Clean Sheet 19%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesham | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Maidenhead
0:4
Jan 24, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Maidenhead
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Chesham
1:2
Nov 22, 2008 FA Trophy
Maidenhead vs Chesham
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Maidenhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Umerah J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mitchell-Lawson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesham 49 / 100
Maidenhead 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesham Maidenhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.
Chesham scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Maidenhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Chesham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chesham VS Maidenhead
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesham
(Home) 03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
Maidenhead
(Away) 26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:25 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:27 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:24 | 4 |
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
