Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Crewe
England
League Two 2025/2026 SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
36'
36'
Bonis L.
Assist: Markanday D.
42'
42'
Dobra A.
45'
45'
Braybrooke S.
AI Match Summary
Chesterfield in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Chesterfield.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 20%
Crewe Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crewe
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Chesterfield
3:3
Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Crewe vs Chesterfield
7:1
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Crewe
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Chesterfield
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Crewe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 32 / 100
Crewe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Crewe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Chesterfield's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Crewe let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Chesterfield has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Crewe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0 Crewe
14 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Grimsby
11 Apr
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
Crewe
(Away) 01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2 Birmingham
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
21 Jul
Telford
0 : 3 Crewe
11 Jul
Witton Albion
2 : 3 Crewe
25 Apr
Chesterfield
2 : 0 Crewe
11 Apr
Grimsby
3 : 2 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
