Sport Picks
Chesterfield vs Tranmere - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield 
Match Events
10'
10'
Cook P.
15'
15'
Markanday D.
Assist: Hutton R.
18'
18'
Conlon T.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Chesterfield and Tranmere finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesterfield carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chesterfield's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 19%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chesterfield | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Tranmere
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Tranmere
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Chesterfield
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Chesterfield
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 League Two
Chesterfield vs Tranmere
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Koroma J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Markanday D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Slater J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chesterfield 85 / 100
Tranmere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chesterfield Tranmere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Chesterfield found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Tranmere has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Chesterfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chesterfield VS Tranmere
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chesterfield
(Home) 03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
Page 1 of 4
Tranmere
(Away) 03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1 Walsall
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
