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Chiangmai United vs Ranong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
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Match Events

28' Event
Deyvison

AI Match Summary

Chiangmai United in this Thai League 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiangmai United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Chiangmai United
15%
Draws
8%
Ranong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiangmai United have won more games recently than Ranong.
  • Win probability leans Chiangmai United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 68%
Ranong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Ranong
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.65 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Ranong
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Chiangmai United
0:0
Mar 13, 2021 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Ranong
2:0
Nov 15, 2020 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Chiangmai United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Deyvison
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ranong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 95 / 100
Ranong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Ranong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ranong conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Chiangmai United scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Chiangmai United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ranong registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangmai United VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangmai United

(Home)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
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Ranong

(Away)
30 Apr
Chiangmai FC
3 : 2
Ranong
22 Apr
Ranong
0 : 5
Uthai Thani
08 Apr
Samut Prakan City
2 : 0
Ranong
02 Apr
Ranong
2 : 2
Krabi
29 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Ranong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
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