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Chiangmai United vs Rasisalai United Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
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Match Events

41' Event
Kongsinkaew W.
51' Event
Jeong W.
(Penalty)
82' Event
Yongsakool N.

AI Match Summary

Rasisalai United in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rasisalai United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chiangmai United
30%
Draws
18%
Rasisalai United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rasisalai United lately — more wins on the board than Chiangmai United.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Chiangmai United taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 12%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Rasisalai United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 0 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.67 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Rasisalai United
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Thai League 2
Rasisalai United vs Chiangmai United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangmai United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rasisalai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kongsinkaew W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yongsakool N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 56 / 100
Rasisalai United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Rasisalai United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangmai United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rasisalai United has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Chiangmai United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chiangmai United VS Rasisalai United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangmai United

(Home)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

Rasisalai United

(Away)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0
Rasisalai United
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)