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Chiangmai United vs Ubon United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

Chiangmai United play Ubon United in the Thai League 2 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chiangmai United averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Ubon United averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Chiangmai United won 0, Ubon United won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 22, 2019 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Chiangmai United and 1.06 for Ubon United. This points to a Chiangmai United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Chiangmai United
15%
Draws
33%
Ubon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Chiangmai United picked up more points recently compared to Ubon United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 22%
Ubon United Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangmai United Ubon United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.74 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Ubon United
2:2
May 25, 2019 Thai League 2
Ubon United vs Chiangmai United
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangmai United 51 / 100
Ubon United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangmai United Ubon United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chiangmai United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chiangmai United attacking → ← attacking Ubon United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangmai United scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Ubon United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chiangmai United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ubon United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 24
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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10Lampang F.C.3411121141:4545
11Chiangmai United3410101443:4340
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17Ubon United34862031:5630
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