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Chiangrai Utd vs Bangkok Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Jarunongkran W.
41' Event
Enomoto I.
45' Event
Enomoto I.
Assist: Dudu

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chiangrai Utd and Bangkok Utd finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiangrai Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chiangrai Utd
30%
Draws
39%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangkok Utd come out ahead of Chiangrai Utd on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Bangkok Utd
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Chiangrai Utd
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Bangkok Utd
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Bangkok Utd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Enomoto I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bangkok Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 32 / 100
Bangkok Utd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Bangkok Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chiangrai Utd scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Bangkok Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Chiangrai Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Bangkok Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6

Bangkok Utd

(Away)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)