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Stadium Background

Chiangrai Utd vs Uthai Thani

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Leo Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Kannoo S.
36'
Auksornsri T.
46'
Sub
Smart D. In: Baio B.
Out: Smart D.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Chiangrai Utd and Uthai Thani finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiangrai Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chiangrai Utd
20%
Draws
42%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uthai Thani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chiangrai Utd's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiangrai Utd Uthai Thani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Uthai Thani
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Uthai Thani
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Uthai Thani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiangrai Utd 42 / 100
Uthai Thani 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiangrai Utd Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Uthai Thani let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chiangrai Utd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiangrai Utd VS Uthai Thani
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiangrai Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
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Uthai Thani

(Away)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)