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Chiasso vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riva IV, Chiasso
Sat, Apr 22, 2023
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiasso host Rapperswil-Jona in the Promotion League 2022/2023. This has Chiasso written all over it on paper. Chiasso have averaged 1.46 scored and 0.92 conceded recently, against Rapperswil-Jona's 1.9 scored and 1.87 conceded. Past meetings favor Chiasso slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Chiasso. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chiasso
20%
Draws
29%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rapperswil-Jona come out ahead of Chiasso on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chiasso a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiasso Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:0
Oct 19, 2022 Promotion League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Chiasso
1:0
Feb 20, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 Promotion League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Chiasso
0:5
May 11, 2019 Challenge League
Chiasso vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiasso 40 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiasso Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiasso scored in 85% of their last 13 games.

Rapperswil-Jona has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chiasso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rapperswil-Jona
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiasso

(Home)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)