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Chiasso vs Stade Nyonnais

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023 Stadio Comunale Riva IV, Chiasso
Sat, Apr 8, 2023
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chiasso host Stade Nyonnais in the Promotion League 2022/2023. Chiasso are expected to control this from the start. Stade Nyonnais have shipped 2.06 goals a game lately, while Chiasso have conceded 0.92 and scored 1.46. Head-to-head, Chiasso have won 1 to Stade Nyonnais's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.23 - 0.93) back Chiasso to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chiasso
20%
Draws
10%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chiasso come out ahead of Stade Nyonnais on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chiasso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiasso Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 1 11
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.46 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Oct 1, 2022 Promotion League
Stade Nyonnais vs Chiasso
2:1
May 7, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Stade Nyonnais
2:2
Nov 20, 2021 Promotion League
Stade Nyonnais vs Chiasso
1:0
Aug 7, 2021 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Stade Nyonnais
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiasso 85 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiasso Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiasso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chiasso scored in 85% of their last 13 outings.

Stade Nyonnais has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chiasso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stade Nyonnais
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiasso

(Home)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)